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Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Preview: Bears Favored at Lambeau for First Time Since 2006

The Bears vs Packers preview breaks down Sunday's Lambeau Field matchup, including injuries, expected starters and the key rushing matchup to watch.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Preview

The Chicago Bears head to Lambeau Field on Sunday as three-point favorites against the Green Bay Packers, the first time Chicago has held that position there since Week 1 of 2006, according to Yahoo Sports. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET with Chicago carrying a 3-1 record into a division game against a Packers team sitting at 2-2.

The Bears vs Packers matchup carries extra weight after Chicago beat Green Bay twice in the past year, including a wild-card playoff comeback from a 21-3 halftime deficit to win 31-27. Green Bay had won 11 straight in the series from 2019-24 before that turnaround, and the Packers lead the all-time series 109-98-6, per Yahoo Sports.

Chicago Bears Vs Packers Game Information

  • Date: Sunday, Oct. 11
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
  • TV: Fox
  • Weather: 72 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation

By The Numbers

  • Points per game: Bears 28.0, Packers 18.3
  • Total yards per game: Bears 440.3, Packers 318.3
  • Rushing yards per game: Bears 196.3, Packers 58.0
  • Passing yards per game: Bears 244.0, Packers 260.3
  • Third-down conversion rate: Bears 47.37%, Packers 26.09%
  • Red zone scoring rate: Bears 63.16%, Packers 71.43%
  • Turnover margin: Bears plus-1, Packers minus-2
  • Penalty yards per game: Bears 47.3, Packers 86.0 (league high)

Chicago’s rushing attack stands out as the widest gap on the sheet. The Bears average an NFL-leading 196.3 yards per game on the ground, and Green Bay has allowed 139.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 28th in the league in run defense, according to CBS Sports.

Chicago Bears Outlook

Tyson Bagent is projected to start at quarterback for Chicago with Caleb Williams out for a second straight game because of a hamstring injury, per CBS Sports. Bagent threw for 268 yards against the Jets last week and is 30 of 43 for 322 yards with one interception as the team’s season passing leader.

The backfield picture is unsettled. Kyle Monangai, who leads the Bears with 324 rushing yards and three touchdowns, is listed as questionable with a toe injury and did not practice Wednesday or Thursday. D’Andre Swift is also questionable with a hip issue and was limited Thursday, meaning the carries could again be split if both suit up.

Chicago leads the NFL in total yards per game at 429.0 and in time of possession at 36:36, with an NFL-leading 14 drives of at least 10 plays. The Bears have posted an NFL-best turnover margin of plus-23 since Ben Johnson took over as coach in 2025, and safety Anthony Johnson Jr. and cornerback Kyler Gordon are both out this week.

Green Bay Packers Outlook

Jordan Love has thrown for 1,041 yards with eight touchdowns and three interceptions this season, and he has a career mark of 13 touchdown passes against two interceptions in seven games against the Bears, including last season’s playoff loss. Christian Watson leads Green Bay’s receiving corps with 20 catches for 331 yards and four touchdowns.

The Packers’ offensive line is dealing with a cluster of injuries. Center Jager Burton (back spasms), offensive tackle Anthony Belton (knee), center Jacob Monk (quadriceps), guard Aaron Banks (toe) and running back Chris Brooks (ankle) are all listed as questionable for Sunday. Green Bay’s run defense has been exposed in its last two home games, with Derrick Henry rushing for 216 yards in a home finale loss last season and Bijan Robinson running for 194 yards in a 35-14 home-opener loss to Atlanta this year, per Sports Illustrated.

Key Matchup

The clearest edge on paper belongs to Chicago’s offensive line against a Green Bay run defense ranked 28th in yards allowed per game. The Bears have posted four games of at least 230 rushing yards since the start of last season, more than any other team in that span, according to Sports Illustrated.

On the other side, Chicago’s defense ranks third in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game with 10 sacks through four games, but sits 29th in yards allowed per carry at 4.94 despite ranking in the top half of the league in total rush yards allowed. Dennis Allen’s pressure-heavy scheme reportedly gave Matt LaFleur and Love problems in the second half of last season’s playoff game, per Sports Illustrated, which could put extra strain on a Packers offensive line already dealing with multiple questionable designations.

Players To Watch

Tyson Bagent, QB, Bears

Making his second straight start in place of Williams, Bagent threw for 268 yards in last week’s win over the Jets. He is 30 of 43 passing this season with 322 yards and one interception.

Jordan Love, QB, Packers

Love has eight touchdown passes and three interceptions on the year and has historically thrived against Chicago, with 13 career touchdown passes against the Bears in seven meetings.

D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai, RB, Bears

Both backs carry questionable tags into Sunday. Monangai has been the more productive of the two this season with 324 yards and three touchdowns on 60 carries, but his practice absences this week raise questions about his workload against a Packers run defense that has struggled in recent home games.

What To Watch

Both teams sit behind the unbeaten Minnesota Vikings in the NFC North, with Chicago at 3-1 and Green Bay at 2-2 alongside Detroit. A Bears win would mark their third straight in the series, something Chicago has not done against Green Bay since the 2005-06 seasons, according to Sports Illustrated.

Coach Ben Johnson’s comments after last season’s playoff win over the Packers have become part of the pregame storyline. Packers safety (unnamed speaker) response and Love’s response were not detailed beyond the quotes provided, but Packers coach Matt LaFleur has declined to respond publicly. “Because this game is about players, and so we’ll keep it about the players. You know I’m not the one out there they’re playing, so I think that’s always been my mentality, and we’re going to keep it about those guys,” LaFleur said, according to Sporting News.

Cairo Santos’ field-goal kicking was a deciding factor in last year’s wild-card win, per Sports Illustrated, and special teams could again be a factor given Green Bay’s banged-up offensive line. Chicago’s next game and Green Bay’s next game both follow this matchup, with details to be confirmed after Sunday’s result.

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