Houston Astros (65-52) vs. New York Yankees (62-55)
Game Details: Sunday, August 10, 2025 @ 1:35 pm EST
Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York
J. Alexander (R) vs. M. Fried (L)
Where to Watch: MLB.TV
The Houston Astros are looking to end the series strong on Sunday afternoon at Yankee Stadium against the New York Yankees. The Yankees secured a 5-4 home win on Saturday to even up the series. The Astros are first in the AL West with a 65-52 record and are sending right-hander Jason Alexander to the bump. The Yankees are third in the AL East with a 62-55 record and are having southpaw Max Fried to pitch here.
Betting Odds
| Team | Spread | Total Runs | Money Line |
 | +1.5 (-120) | Over 9 (+100) | +154 |
| -1.5 (+100) | Under 9 (-122) | -184 |
Apex Tale of The Tape
| Team Stats | |
| 4.32 | Runs/G | 5.09 |
| .258 | BA | .250 |
| .322 | OBP | .328 |
| .407 | SLG | .445 |
| .729 | OPS | .773 |
| 129 | HR | 183 |
| 58 | SB | 84 |
| 3.71 | ERA | 4.03 |
| 1.19 | WHIP | 1.26 |
| 9.68 | K/9 | 9.01 |
| .988 | Fielding Percentage | .985 |
| 34 | Saves | 31 |
Projected Starting Pitchers H2H
| Jason Alexander | Player Stats | Max Fried |
| 2-1 | W/L | 12-4 |
| 5.97 | ERA | 2.78 |
| 31.2 | IP | 139.0 |
| 1.61 | WHIP | 1.07 |
| 26 | K | 132 |
| 15 | BB | 35 |
Key Stats
Houston Astros
The Houston Astros are doing a good job at the plate as they are 11th in MLB with a .258/.322/.407 slash line while scoring 4.32 runs per game thus far. Their lineup has been doing poorly at drawing walks as they are 26th in the bigs with 340 total walks drawn. Left fielder Jose Altuve has been hitting well as he is posting a .813 OPS with 20 home runs, 62 RBI, 63 runs scored, and eight stolen bases on 14 attempts.
Right-hander Jason Alexander will be on the mound for the Houston Astros as he is 2-1 with a 5.97 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP in 31.2 innings over nine games (four starts) with a save. Hitters are swinging the bat well against him as he is posting a .279 batting average against right now. Alexander has not faced the Yankees since 2022, so this will be a good test for him.
New York Yankees
The New York Yankees are hitting at an incredible level as they lead MLB with a .773 team OPS while averaging 5.09 runs per game up to this point. The team has been able to hit for an elite amount of power as they also lead the sport with 183 home runs. Right fielder Aaron Judge has been hitting at an AL MVP level as he has a .339/.447/.697 slash line with 37 home runs, 86 RBI, 92 runs scored, and six stolen bases while being caught three times.
The New York Yankees are sending lefty Max Fried to the hill and pitched well thus far as in his first 23 starts, he is 12-4 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in 139.0 innings of work. He has limited the amount of homers allowed as he gave up 10 thus far after allowing 13 in 174.1 innings in 2024. Fried faced the Astros once last season as a member of the Atlanta Braves as he did not factor into the decision as he pitched five innings and allowed three runs on seven hits with four walks and a apir of strikeouts.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Betting Trends
| Betting Stats | |
| 5-5 | W/L 10 | 4-6 |
| 54-63 | ATS | 51-66 |
| 52-58-7 | O/U | 54-58-5 |
Prediction
When diving into the road/home splits for these pitchers, there is a difference as Jason Alexander is 2-0 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in 18.1 innings (five games, two road starts) while Max Fried is 5-1 with a 2.29 ERA and a .196 batting average against in 59.0 innings (10 home starts) thus far. The Yankees are a clearly better offensive team and did enough to win on Saturday with a Trent Grisham game-winning homer in the eighth inning after David Bednar escaped a bases-loaded one out jam in the eighth inning with the game tied. All in all, go with the New York Yankees to win this game and the series.
Final Pick
New York Yankees ML (-184)
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