Indianapolis Colts Expected To Tag Quarterback Daniel Jones Later Today

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones moves along the sideline on a scooter

UPDATE: The Colts placed the transition tag on Jones worth $37.8 million this afternoon. He will still have the opportunity to negotiate with teams on the open market.

Nobody does quarterback drama quite like the Indianapolis Colts. And right now, they’re deep in the middle of a will-they-won’t-they situation with Daniel Jones that has every fan in Indiana stress-eating popcorn and refreshing Twitter every 30 seconds. Here’s where things stand: the Colts need a quarterback. Jones needs a contract. You’d think this would be simple. It is not.

The Colts Have Been Here Before

Since Andrew Luck walked away from football in 2019, the Colts have been on a quarterback merry-go-round that would make your head spin. Philip Rivers. Carson Wentz. Matt Ryan. Sam Ehlinger. Nick Foles. Anthony Richardson. And now Jones, who, for one beautiful stretch of the 2025 season, actually looked like the answer.

Jones posted a 100.2 quarterback rating, completed 68% of his passes, threw 19 touchdowns, and had Colts fans genuinely excited about football for the first time in years. Then, in Week 14, he tore his Achilles.

The Tag Situation Explained

So now the Colts face a decision that would give any general manager a migraine. Chris Ballard has until today at 4 p.m. ET to figure out what to do, and none of his options are particularly clean.

Option 1: The Non-Exclusive Franchise Tag — This costs the Colts $43.895 million for 2026. It keeps Jones from walking, but it also likely pushes Wide Receiver Alec Pierce, Jones’s favorite target, straight into the arms of another team. Lose your quarterback’s security blanket while overpaying for the quarterback himself? Bold strategy.

Option 2: The Transition Tag — Cheaper at $37.833 million, but riskier. The Colts can match any offer, but they get zero draft compensation if they don’t. It’s the NFL equivalent of leaving your front door unlocked and hoping nobody notices.

Option 3: Get a Long-Term Deal Done Now — ESPN’s Adam Schefter put the odds of that happening before the deadline at 50/50.

The Vikings Are Watching From the Bushes

Making this whole situation more chaotic is the fact that the Minnesota Vikings are reportedly “lurking” around Jones. He actually spent time with the Vikings in 2024 and has a solid relationship with Head Coach Kevin O’Connell.

If the Colts use the transition tag and another team swoops in with an offer, Indy has five days to match it or watch Jones walk. And if Minnesota gets involved? The Colts could lose their quarterback without getting so much as a late-round pick in return.

Is Daniel Jones Even Worth the Risk?

That’s the real question nobody wants to answer out loud. Jones is coming off a torn Achilles. He had 4 interceptions and 3 fumbles in just Weeks 9 and 10 alone before he caught fire. He’s expected to command somewhere in the neighborhood of $174 million on a long-term deal. That’s a massive financial commitment for a guy whose knee is still healing.

But here’s the brutal reality: the 2026 free agent quarterback class is thin. The draft class isn’t much better. Kyler Murray might get cut. Tua Tagovailoa could be available for cheap. Anthony Richardson might fetch a fifth-round pick in a trade. None of that screams “Super Bowl window.”

Ballard said it plainly at the combine: “Daniel and Alec are such big pieces. We move and fit from there.”

What Happens Next For the Colts

Head Coach Shane Steichen has nothing but praise for Jones. “The way he works, the way he goes about his business—his preparation is phenomenal,” Steichen said. “What he was able to do before the injury was awesome for us.” Jones, for his part, has made it known he wants to stay in Indianapolis. That counts for something.

But wanting to stay and affording to stay are two very different things in the NFL. The Colts are at a crossroads. A real one. Tag Jones and risk losing Pierce. Use the transition tag and risk losing Jones. Try to get a deal done and hope the math works out. Whatever happens before Tuesday’s deadline, one thing is certain: Colts fans aren’t sleeping well this week.