Five INDYCAR Drivers Primed for a Breakout Season in 2026
For six long seasons, Alex Palou has had the NTT INDYCAR SERIES in a stranglehold. From his rookie year with Dale Coyne Racing in 2020 to his dominant run with Chip Ganassi Racing, the guy has been a force of nature. We’re talking 19 wins and four championships, including a three-peat from 2023 to 2025. He’s the undisputed king of the mountain.
But every dynasty has its challengers. There’s hope that the high-stakes action that ignites the excitement in the IndyCar paddock will take on a whole new meaning in 2026 with faces to match. A new crop of hungry, talented drivers is tired of seeing Palou spray champagne. They’re ready to do more than just win a race or two. They’re aiming to live in the top five and make a real run for the title.
We saw it happen in 2025. Christian Lundgaard and Kyle Kirkwood busted down the door and announced their arrival. Lundgaard, though he didn’t find Victory Lane, was a model of consistency, snagging a career-best fifth in the championship for Arrow McLaren and doubling his career podiums. And Kirkwood?
He was on fire, grabbing three wins for Andretti Global, second only to Palou, and finally taming an oval at World Wide Technology Raceway. Those guys aren’t underdogs anymore. They’re legit contenders. Now, it’s time to look at the next wave of talent ready to make that leap. Here are five drivers who have the grit, the speed, and the opportunity to make 2026 their breakout year.
Marcus Armstrong: The Quiet Contender
If you’re looking for a dark horse in the 2026 championship fight, look no further than Marcus Armstrong. This 25-year-old Kiwi has been methodically climbing the ranks, and he’s on the verge of something big. Remember, this is the guy who won Rookie of the Year in 2023, running a partial schedule.
Since then, it’s been nothing but forward momentum. His move to Meyer Shank Racing in 2025 was a masterstroke. He took a car that had been languishing in the back half of the field and muscled it to a career-best eighth in the points.
Two top-fives, eleven top-tens, Armstrong showed he can run with the big dogs. He’s elevated that whole program. He’s tasted the front of the pack, leading 28 laps. Now, all that’s left is to seal the deal and grab that first checkered flag. If he makes another jump like he did last year, he won’t just be a contender. He’ll be a threat in 2026.
David Malukas: Penske’s New Weapon
David Malukas has always had raw, unadulterated speed. We saw flashes of it at Dale Coyne and Meyer Shank. Last year at A.J. Foyt Racing, he was a qualifying machine, putting it on the front row three times. The kid knows how to wheel a car for one blistering lap.
But now, he’s landed the golden ticket: a ride with Team Penske for 2026. This is where potential meets opportunity. At Penske, you get the best of everything: the engineers, the strategy, the equipment. This is Malukas’s chance to turn that Saturday speed into Sunday glory.
He’s got the talent. Penske has the resources to refine it, and the pressure is on, no doubt. The last full-time driver to go winless at Penske was André Ribeiro way back in 1998. But Malukas isn’t there to just fill a seat. He’s there to win, and in 2026, he has everything he needs to do it.
Christian Rasmussen: The Oval Ace
When it comes to turning left, Christian Rasmussen is quickly becoming one of the best in the business. This Dane is a beast on the ovals. He proved it by grabbing his first career win at the legendary Milwaukee Mile last season and racking up top-10s on almost every oval on the calendar. In fact, he was third overall in oval points.
But to be a true champion in this series, you’ve got to be a threat everywhere in 2026. For Rasmussen, the next step is mastering the road and street courses. He struggled on the twisties last year, and it held him back in the overall standings.
But heading into 2026, he’s got stability for the first time in his career, a third straight year with Ed Carpenter Racing. That continuity, combined with the confidence from his oval success, could be the perfect recipe for a full-blown breakout.
Felix Rosenqvist: The Veteran’s Redemption
Calling a seven-year veteran a “breakout” candidate might raise some eyebrows, but hear me out. Felix Rosenqvist has been searching for that next level of success since his lone win way back in 2020. At Meyer Shank Racing, he’s found a new fire.
He single-handedly lifted the No. 60 team, jumping them from 25th in points to 12th in his first year. Last season, he matched his career-best sixth-place finish in the championship. The momentum is building. Rosenqvist is knocking on the door of Victory Lane again, and in 2026, he’s poised to kick it down.
He’s not just looking for a win; he’s looking to re-establish himself as an elite driver. And don’t be surprised if that breakthrough comes at the Indianapolis 500. With two fourth-place finishes in the last four years, he knows how to get around that place. This could be the year he finally drinks the milk.
Kyffin Simpson: The Rising Star
After his rookie season, some folks had questions about Kyffin Simpson. In 2025, he answered every single one of them. The 21-year-old showed maturity and racecraft well beyond his years. He battled wheel-to-wheel with the best in the business, ending his season with a spectacular fight for the podium in Nashville.
He’s not just a kid anymore. He’s a legitimate driver for one of the best teams in the paddock, Chip Ganassi Racing. Being teammates with legends like Palou and Scott Dixon is like getting a master’s degree in race car driving every single weekend. In 2026, Simpson is ready to graduate with honors. He’s got the car, he’s got the team, and he’s got the talent. It’s time for him to step out of the shadows and make a name for himself in 2026.
