UFC 306 will feature two championship fights in The Sphere of Las Vegas, NV. To prelude those two main event fights, Brian Ortega and Diego Lopes are scheduled for a key featherweight matchup. The fight gives a tale as old as time.
Brian Ortega started his UFC career at just 23 years old. After a no-contest in his debut, Ortega went on a tear, winning six straight fights by either submission or stoppage. Going 2-3 since then, losing in championship bouts versus Max Holloway and Alexander Volkanovski, Ortega looks to return to his contender form at UFC 306.
Diego Lopes is still early in his UFC career. After losing his debut at 27, he bounced back with four straight wins since 2022. Now the 13th-ranked featherweight, Lopes is aiming for a title shot if he can overcome No. 3 Brian Ortega at UFC 306.
Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes: UFC 306 Tale of the Tape
| Brian ‘T-City’ Ortega | Diego Lopes | |
| 16-3-0 (1 NC) | Record | 25-6-0 |
| 11-3-0 (1 NC) | UFC Record | 4-1 |
| 33 | Age | 29 |
| 5’8″ | Height | 5’11” |
| 69″ | Reach | 72.5″ |
| Huntington Beach Training | Team | Lobo Gym MMA |
| Switch | Fighting Stance | Orthodox |
| W1 | Streak | W4 |
Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes: Statistical Comparison
| Brian Ortega | Diego Lopes | |
| 4.07 | Significant Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.24 |
| 38% | Striking Accuracy | 55% |
| 6.54 | Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 4.08 |
| 49% | Striking Defense | 39% |
| 1.17 per 15 min | Takedown Average | .33 per 15 mins |
| 27% | Takedown Accuracy | 25% |
| 57% | Takedown Defense | 46% |
| 1.2 submissions per 3 rounds | Submission Attempt Average | 3.7 submissions per 15 min |
| 12:47 | Average Fight Time | 7:28 |
Brian Ortega’s Last Fight
In his last fight, Brian Ortega avenged his 2022 loss to Yair Rodriguez, winning by arm triangle in round 3. Rodriguez landed 64 of 135 total strikes, including 55 significant strikes at 47% accuracy, with 36 aimed at the head. Ortega connected with 47 of 104 total strikes, including 28 significant strikes at 38% accuracy, with 26 landing to the head. Most of the significant strikes—61% from Rodriguez and 46% from Ortega—were thrown from a distance.
Diego Lopes’s Last Fight
In his last fight before UFC 306, Diego Lopes pulled off a win over Dan Ige by unanimous decision. Lopes landed 49% of his significant strikes, connecting on 49 of 100, with 32 aimed at the head. He also hit 77% of his significant strikes from distance. Ige landed 57% of his distance strikes and connected on 42 of 77 significant strikes, with 34 hitting the head. Overall, Lopes landed 90 of 143 total strikes, while Ige connected on 67 of 103.
This fight took place on short notice, as it was originally scheduled to take place between Lopes and Ortega. Ortega was unable to make the fight due to illness.
Who Will Win At UFC 306
Brian Ortega opens the fight as Vegas’ slim underdog(+145) to Lopes(-175) at UFC 306. This may come as a surprise to many, as Ortega is the more experienced and arguably complete fighter. Diego Lopes is entering his prime and has shown immense upside in the featherweight division. Picking up three early finishes in just five UFC fights, his abilities are undeniable. However, Ortega is known to be an extremely durable fighter.
It will be a close fight for many reasons. UFC 306 will be in store for a technical brawl to warm up the championship matches of Sean O’Malley and Alexa Grasso.
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